Prognostic potentials of AI in ophthalmology: systemic disease forecasting via retinal imaging.

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) that utilizes deep learning (DL) has potential for systemic disease prediction using retinal imaging. The retina's unique features enable non-invasive visualization of the central nervous system and microvascular circulation, aiding early detection and personalized treatment plans for personalized care. This review explores the value of retinal assessment, AI-based retinal biomarkers, and the importance of longitudinal prediction models in personalized care. MAIN TEXT: This narrative review extensively surveys the literature for relevant studies in PubMed and Google Scholar, investigating the application of AI-based retina biomarkers in predicting systemic diseases using retinal fundus photography. The study settings, sample sizes, utilized AI models and corresponding results were extracted and analysed. This review highlights the substantial potential of AI-based retinal biomarkers in predicting neurodegenerative, cardiovascular, and chronic kidney diseases. Notably, DL algorithms have demonstrated effectiveness in identifying retinal image features associated with cognitive decline, dementia, Parkinson's disease, and cardiovascular risk factors. Furthermore, longitudinal prediction models leveraging retinal images have shown potential in continuous disease risk assessment and early detection. AI-based retinal biomarkers are non-invasive, accurate, and efficient for disease forecasting and personalized care. CONCLUSION: AI-based retinal imaging hold promise in transforming primary care and systemic disease management. Together, the retina's unique features and the power of AI enable early detection, risk stratification, and help revolutionizing disease management plans. However, to fully realize the potential of AI in this domain, further research and validation in real-world settings are essential.

Is Kidney Function Associated with Age-Related Macular Degeneration?: Findings from the Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium.

PURPOSE: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) may elevate susceptibility to age-related macular degeneration (AMD) because of shared risk factors, pathogenic mechanisms, and genetic polymorphisms. Given the inconclusive findings in prior studies, we investigated this association using extensive datasets in the Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-one thousand two hundred fifty-three participants from 10 distinct population-based Asian studies. METHODS: Age-related macular degeneration was defined using the Wisconsin Age-Related Maculopathy Grading System, the International Age-Related Maculopathy Epidemiological Study Group Classification, or the Beckman Clinical Classification. Chronic kidney disease was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. A pooled analysis using individual-level participant data was performed to examine the associations between CKD and eGFR with AMD (early and late), adjusting for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, body mass index, smoking status, total cholesterol, and study groups. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Odds ratio (OR) of early and late AMD. RESULTS: Among 51 253 participants (mean age, 54.1 ± 14.5 years), 5079 had CKD (9.9%). The prevalence of early AMD was 9.0%, and that of late AMD was 0.71%. After adjusting for confounders, individuals with CKD were associated with higher odds of late AMD (OR, 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.93; P = 0.008). Similarly, poorer kidney function (per 10-unit eGFR decrease) was associated with late AMD (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.05-1.19; P = 0.001). Nevertheless, CKD and eGFR were not associated significantly with early AMD (all P ≥ 0.149). CONCLUSIONS: Pooled analysis from 10 distinct Asian population-based studies revealed that CKD and compromised kidney function are associated significantly with late AMD. This finding further underscores the importance of ocular examinations in patients with CKD. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Cardiovascular disease and thinning of retinal nerve fiber layer in a multi-ethnic Asian population: the Singapore epidemiology of eye diseases study.

Introduction: Our study aimed to examine the relationship between cardiovascular diseases (CVD) with peripapillary retinal fiber layer (RNFL) and macular ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness profiles in a large multi-ethnic Asian population study. Methods: 6,024 Asian subjects were analyzed in this study. All participants underwent standardized examinations, including spectral domain OCT imaging (Cirrus HD-OCT; Carl Zeiss Meditec). In total, 9,188 eyes were included for peripapillary RNFL analysis (2,417 Malays; 3,240 Indians; 3,531 Chinese), and 9,270 eyes (2,449 Malays, 3,271 Indians, 3,550 Chinese) for GCIPL analysis. History of CVD was defined as a self-reported clinical history of stroke, myocardial infarction, or angina. Multivariable linear regression models with generalized estimating equations were performed, adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, chronic kidney disease, body mass index, current smoking status, and intraocular pressure. Results: We observed a significant association between CVD history and thinner average RNFL (ß = -1.63; 95% CI, -2.70 to -0.56; p = 0.003). This association was consistent for superior (ß = -1.79, 95% CI, -3.48 to -0.10; p = 0.038) and inferior RNFL quadrant (ß = -2.14, 95% CI, -3.96 to -0.32; p = 0.021). Of the CVD types, myocardial infarction particularly showed significant association with average (ß = -1.75, 95% CI, -3.08 to -0.42; p = 0.010), superior (ß = -2.22, 95% CI, -4.36 to -0.09; p = 0.041) and inferior (ß = -2.42, 95% CI, -4.64 to -0.20; p = 0.033) RNFL thinning. Among ethnic groups, the association between CVD and average RNFL was particularly prominent in Indian eyes (ß = -1.92, 95% CI, -3.52 to -0.33; p = 0.018). CVD was not significantly associated with average GCIPL thickness, albeit a consistent negative direction of association was observed (ß = -0.22, 95% CI, -1.15 to 0.71; p = 0.641). Discussion: In this large multi-ethnic Asian population study, we observed significant association between CVD history and RNFL thinning. This finding further validates the impact of impaired systemic circulation on RNFL thickness.

International incidence and temporal trends for rhegmatogenous retinal detachment: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

We set out to estimate the international incidence of rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD) and to evaluate its temporal trend over time. There is a lack of robust estimates on the worldwide incidence and trend for RRD, a major cause of acute vision loss. We conducted a systematic review of RRD incidence. The electronic databases PubMed, Scopus, and Thomson Reuters' Web of Science were searched from inception through 2nd June 2022. Random-effects meta-analysis model with logit transformation was performed to obtain pooled annual incidence estimates of RRD. Pooled analysis was performed to evaluate the temporal trend of RRD incidence of the 20,958 records identified from the database searches; 33 studies from 21 countries were included for analysis (274,836 cases of RRD in 273,977 persons). Three of the 6 global regions as defined by WHO had studies that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the study. The annual international incidence of RRD was estimated to be 12.17 (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.51-14.09) per 100,000 population; with an increasing temporal trend of RRD at 5.4 per 100,000 per decade (p 0.001) from 1997 to 2019. Amongst world regions, the RRD incidence was highest in Europe (14.52 [95% CI 11.79 - 17.88] per 100,000 population), followed by Western Pacific (10.55 [95% CI 8.71-12.75] per 100,000 population) and Regions of Americas (8.95 [95% CI 6.73-11.92] per 100,000 population). About one in 10,000 persons develop RRD each year. There is evidence of increasing trend for RRD incidence over time, with possibly doubling of the current incidence rate within the next 2 decades.

Pivotal trial of a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker (Reti-CVD) in the prediction of cardiovascular disease: data from CMERC-HI.

OBJECTIVE: The potential of using retinal images as a biomarker of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk has gained significant attention, but regulatory approval of such artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms is lacking. In this regulated pivotal trial, we validated the efficacy of Reti-CVD, an AI-Software as a Medical Device (AI-SaMD), that utilizes retinal images to stratify CVD risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, we used data from the Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases Etiology Research Center-High Risk (CMERC-HI) Cohort. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) trend across the 3-tier CVD risk groups (low-, moderate-, and high-risk) according to Reti-CVD in prediction of CVD events. The cardiac computed tomography-measured coronary artery calcium (CAC), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) were compared to Reti-CVD. RESULTS: A total of 1106 participants were included, with 33 (3.0%) participants experiencing CVD events over 5 years; the Reti-CVD-defined risk groups (low, moderate, and high) were significantly associated with increased CVD risk (HR trend, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.26-3.24). When all variables of Reti-CVD, CAC, CIMT, baPWV, and other traditional risk factors were incorporated into one Cox model, the Reti-CVD risk groups were only significantly associated with increased CVD risk (HR = 2.40 [0.82-7.03] in moderate risk and HR = 3.56 [1.34-9.51] in high risk using low-risk as a reference). DISCUSSION: This regulated pivotal study validated an AI-SaMD, retinal image-based, personalized CVD risk scoring system (Reti-CVD). CONCLUSION: These results led the Korean regulatory body to authorize Reti-CVD.

Correction: From 2 dimensions to 3rd dimension: Quantitative prediction of anterior chamber depth from anterior segment photographs via deep-learning.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000193.].

Efficacy of deep learning-based artificial intelligence models in screening and referring patients with diabetic retinopathy and glaucoma.

Purpose: To analyze the efficacy of a deep learning (DL)-based artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithm in detecting the presence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and glaucoma suspect as compared to the diagnosis by specialists secondarily to explore whether the use of this algorithm can reduce the cross-referral in three clinical settings: a diabetologist clinic, retina clinic, and glaucoma clinic. Methods: This is a prospective observational study. Patients between 35 and 65 years of age were recruited from glaucoma and retina clinics at a tertiary eye care hospital and a physician's clinic. Non-mydriatic fundus photography was performed according to the disease-specific protocols. These images were graded by the AI system and specialist graders and comparatively analyzed. Results: Out of 1085 patients, 362 were seen at glaucoma clinics, 341 were seen at retina clinics, and 382 were seen at physician clinics. The kappa agreement between AI and the glaucoma grader was 85% [95% confidence interval (CI): 77.55-92.45%], and retina grading had 91.90% (95% CI: 87.78-96.02%). The retina grader from the glaucoma clinic had 85% agreement, and the glaucoma grader from the retina clinic had 73% agreement. The sensitivity and specificity of AI glaucoma grading were 79.37% (95% CI: 67.30-88.53%) and 99.45 (95% CI: 98.03-99.93), respectively; DR grading had 83.33% (95 CI: 51.59-97.91) and 98.86 (95% CI: 97.35-99.63). The cross-referral accuracy of DR and glaucoma was 89.57% and 95.43%, respectively. Conclusion: DL-based AI systems showed high sensitivity and specificity in both patients with DR and glaucoma; also, there was a good agreement between the specialist graders and the AI system.

Cardiovascular disease risk assessment using a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker: a comparison with existing risk scores.

Aims: This study aims to evaluate the ability of a deep-learning-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) retinal biomarker, Reti-CVD, to identify individuals with intermediate- and high-risk for CVD. Methods and results: We defined the intermediate- and high-risk groups according to Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE), QRISK3, and modified Framingham Risk Score (FRS). Reti-CVD's prediction was compared to the number of individuals identified as intermediate- and high-risk according to standard CVD risk assessment tools, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated to assess the results. In the UK Biobank, among 48 260 participants, 20 643 (42.8%) and 7192 (14.9%) were classified into the intermediate- and high-risk groups according to PCE, and QRISK3, respectively. In the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases study, among 6810 participants, 3799 (55.8%) were classified as intermediate- and high-risk group according to modified FRS. Reti-CVD identified PCE-based intermediate- and high-risk groups with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.7%, 87.6%, 86.5%, and 84.0%, respectively. Reti-CVD identified QRISK3-based intermediate- and high-risk groups with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.6%, 85.5%, 49.9%, and 96.6%, respectively. Reti-CVD identified intermediate- and high-risk groups according to the modified FRS with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.1%, 80.6%, 76.4%, and 85.5%, respectively. Conclusion: The retinal photograph biomarker (Reti-CVD) was able to identify individuals with intermediate and high-risk for CVD, in accordance with existing risk assessment tools.

Non-invasive chronic kidney disease risk stratification tool derived from retina-based deep learning and clinical factors.

Despite the importance of preventing chronic kidney disease (CKD), predicting high-risk patients who require active intervention is challenging, especially in people with preserved kidney function. In this study, a predictive risk score for CKD (Reti-CKD score) was derived from a deep learning algorithm using retinal photographs. The performance of the Reti-CKD score was verified using two longitudinal cohorts of the UK Biobank and Korean Diabetic Cohort. Validation was done in people with preserved kidney function, excluding individuals with eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 or proteinuria at baseline. In the UK Biobank, 720/30,477 (2.4%) participants had CKD events during the 10.8-year follow-up period. In the Korean Diabetic Cohort, 206/5014 (4.1%) had CKD events during the 6.1-year follow-up period. When the validation cohorts were divided into quartiles of Reti-CKD score, the hazard ratios for CKD development were 3.68 (95% Confidence Interval [CI], 2.88-4.41) in the UK Biobank and 9.36 (5.26-16.67) in the Korean Diabetic Cohort in the highest quartile compared to the lowest. The Reti-CKD score, compared to eGFR based methods, showed a superior concordance index for predicting CKD incidence, with a delta of 0.020 (95% CI, 0.011-0.029) in the UK Biobank and 0.024 (95% CI, 0.002-0.046) in the Korean Diabetic Cohort. In people with preserved kidney function, the Reti-CKD score effectively stratifies future CKD risk with greater performance than conventional eGFR-based methods.

Incidence of Retinal Artery Occlusion and Related Mortality in Korea, 2005 to 2018.

Importance: It remains unclear whether comorbidities in patients with retinal artery occlusion (RAO), a rare retinal vascular disorder, differ by subtype and whether mortality is higher. Objective: To examine the nationwide incidence of clinically diagnosed, nonarteritic RAO, causes of death, and mortality rate in patients with RAO compared with that in the general population in Korea. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective, population-based cohort study examined National Health Insurance Service claims data from 2002 to 2018. The population of South Korea was 49 705 663, according to the 2015 census. Data were analyzed from February 9, 2021, to July 30, 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: The nationwide incidence of any RAO, including central RAO (CRAO; International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision [ICD-10] code, H34.1) and noncentral RAO (other RAO; ICD-10 code, H34.2) was estimated using National Health Insurance Service claims data from 2002 to 2018, with 2002 to 2004 as the washout period. Furthermore, the causes of death were evaluated and the standardized mortality ratio was estimated. The primary outcomes were the incidence of RAO per 100 000 person-years and the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). Results: A total of 51 326 patients with RAO were identified (28 857 [56.2%] men; mean [SD] age at index date: 63.6 [14.1] years). The nationwide incidence of any RAO was 7.38 (95% CI, 7.32-7.44) per 100 000 person-years. The incidence rate of noncentral RAO was 5.12 (95% CI, 5.07-5.18), more than twice that of CRAO (2.25 [95% CI, 2.22-2.29]). Mortality was higher in patients with any RAO than in the general population (SMR, 7.33 [95% CI, 7.15-7.50]). The SMR for CRAO (9.95 [95% CI, 9.61-10.29]) and for noncentral RAO (5.97 [95% CI, 5.78-6.16]) showed a tendency toward a gradual decrease with increasing age. The top 3 causes of death in patients with RAO were diseases of the circulatory system (28.8%), neoplasms (25.1%), and diseases of the respiratory system (10.2%). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that the incidence rate of noncentral RAO was higher than that of CRAO, whereas SMR was higher for CRAO than noncentral RAO. Patients with RAO show higher mortality than the general population, with circulatory system disease as the leading cause of death. These findings suggest that it is necessary to investigate the risk of cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease in patients newly diagnosed with RAO.

From 2 dimensions to 3rd dimension: Quantitative prediction of anterior chamber depth from anterior segment photographs via deep-learning.

Anterior chamber depth (ACD) is a major risk factor of angle closure disease, and has been used in angle closure screening in various populations. However, ACD is measured from ocular biometer or anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT), which are costly and may not be readily available in primary care and community settings. Thus, this proof-of-concept study aims to predict ACD from low-cost anterior segment photographs (ASPs) using deep-learning (DL). We included 2,311 pairs of ASPs and ACD measurements for algorithm development and validation, and 380 pairs for algorithm testing. We captured ASPs with a digital camera mounted on a slit-lamp biomicroscope. Anterior chamber depth was measured with ocular biometer (IOLMaster700 or Lenstar LS9000) in data used for algorithm development and validation, and with AS-OCT (Visante) in data used for testing. The DL algorithm was modified from the ResNet-50 architecture, and assessed using mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient-of-determination (R2), Bland-Altman plot and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). In validation, our algorithm predicted ACD with a MAE (standard deviation) of 0.18 (0.14) mm; R2 = 0.63. The MAE of predicted ACD was 0.18 (0.14) mm in eyes with open angles and 0.19 (0.14) mm in eyes with angle closure. The ICC between actual and predicted ACD measurements was 0.81 (95% CI 0.77, 0.84). In testing, our algorithm predicted ACD with a MAE of 0.23 (0.18) mm; R2 = 0.37. Saliency maps highlighted the pupil and its margin as the main structures used in ACD prediction. This study demonstrates the possibility of predicting ACD from ASPs via DL. This algorithm mimics an ocular biometer in making its prediction, and provides a foundation to predict other quantitative measurements that are relevant to angle closure screening.

Validation of a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker (Reti-CVD) in the prediction of cardiovascular disease: data from UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Currently in the United Kingdom, cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment is based on the QRISK3 score, in which 10% 10-year CVD risk indicates clinical intervention. However, this benchmark has limited efficacy in clinical practice and the need for a more simple, non-invasive risk stratification tool is necessary. Retinal photography is becoming increasingly acceptable as a non-invasive imaging tool for CVD. Previously, we developed a novel CVD risk stratification system based on retinal photographs predicting future CVD risk. This study aims to further validate our biomarker, Reti-CVD, (1) to detect risk group of ≥ 10% in 10-year CVD risk and (2) enhance risk assessment in individuals with QRISK3 of 7.5-10% (termed as borderline-QRISK3 group) using the UK Biobank. METHODS: Reti-CVD scores were calculated and stratified into three risk groups based on optimized cut-off values from the UK Biobank. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to evaluate the ability of Reti-CVD to predict CVD events in the general population. C-statistics was used to assess the prognostic value of adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3 in borderline-QRISK3 group and three vulnerable subgroups. RESULTS: Among 48,260 participants with no history of CVD, 6.3% had CVD events during the 11-year follow-up. Reti-CVD was associated with an increased risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-1.52) with a 13.1% (95% CI, 11.7-14.6%) 10-year CVD risk in Reti-CVD-high-risk group. The 10-year CVD risk of the borderline-QRISK3 group was greater than 10% in Reti-CVD-high-risk group (11.5% in non-statin cohort [n = 45,473], 11.5% in stage 1 hypertension cohort [n = 11,966], and 14.2% in middle-aged cohort [n = 38,941]). C statistics increased by 0.014 (0.010-0.017) in non-statin cohort, 0.013 (0.007-0.019) in stage 1 hypertension cohort, and 0.023 (0.018-0.029) in middle-aged cohort for CVD event prediction after adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3. CONCLUSIONS: Reti-CVD has the potential to identify individuals with ≥ 10% 10-year CVD risk who are likely to benefit from earlier preventative CVD interventions. For borderline-QRISK3 individuals with 10-year CVD risk between 7.5 and 10%, Reti-CVD could be used as a risk enhancer tool to help improve discernment accuracy, especially in adult groups that may be pre-disposed to CVD.

Six-year incidence of age-related macular degeneration and correlation to OCT-derived drusen volume measurements in a Chinese population.

AIMS: To report the 6-year incidence of optical coherence tomography (OCT)-derived age-related changes in drusen volume and related systemic and ocular associations. METHODS: Chinese adults aged 40 years and older were assessed at baseline and 6 years with colour fundus photography (CFP) and spectral domain (SD) OCT. CFPs were graded for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) features and drusen volume was generated using commercially available automated software. RESULTS: A total of 4172 eyes of 2580 participants (mean age 58.12±9.03 years; 51.12% women) had baseline and 6-year follow-up CFP for grading, of these, 2130 eyes of 1305 participants had gradable SD-OCT images, available for analysis. Based on CFP grading, 136 (3.39%) participants developed incident early AMD and 10 (0.25%) late AMD. Concurrently, retinal pigment epithelial-Bruch's membrane (RPE-BrC) volumes decreased, remained stable and increased in 6.8%, 78.5% and 14.7%, respectively, over 6 years. In eyes where RPE-BrC volumes were >0 mm3 at baseline, this was associated with two-fold higher prevalence rate of any AMD at baseline (p<0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that when compared with eyes where RPE-BrC volume was unchanged, volume decrease was significantly associated with older age (OR=1.30; p<0.001), smoking (OR=2.21; p=0.001) and chronic kidney disease (OR=3.4, p=0.008), while increase was associated with older age (OR=1.36; p<0.001) and hypertension (OR=1.43; p=0.016). CONCLUSION: AMD incidence detected at 6 years on CFP and correlated OCT-derived drusen volume measurement change is low. Older age and some systemic risk factors are associated with drusen volume change, and our data provide new insights into relationship between systemic risk factors and outer retinal morphology in Asian eyes.

Predictive, preventive, and personalized management of retinal fluid via computer-aided detection app for optical coherence tomography scans.

Aims: Computer-aided detection systems for retinal fluid could be beneficial for disease monitoring and management by chronic age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) patients, to assist in disease prevention via early detection before the disease progresses to a "wet AMD" pathology or diabetic macular edema (DME), requiring treatment. We propose a proof-of-concept AI-based app to help predict fluid via a "fluid score", prevent fluid progression, and provide personalized, serial monitoring, in the context of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM) for patients at risk of retinal fluid complications. Methods: The app comprises a convolutional neural network-Vision Transformer (CNN-ViT)-based segmentation deep learning (DL) network, trained on a small dataset of 100 training images (augmented to 992 images) from the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases (SEED) study, together with a CNN-based classification network trained on 8497 images, that can detect fluid vs. non-fluid optical coherence tomography (OCT) scans. Both networks are validated on external datasets. Results: Internal testing for our segmentation network produced an IoU score of 83.0% (95% CI = 76.7-89.3%) and a DICE score of 90.4% (86.3-94.4%); for external testing, we obtained an IoU score of 66.7% (63.5-70.0%) and a DICE score of 78.7% (76.0-81.4%). Internal testing of our classification network produced an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 99.18%, and a Youden index threshold of 0.3806; for external testing, we obtained an AUC of 94.55%, and an accuracy of 94.98% and an F1 score of 85.73% with Youden index. Conclusion: We have developed an AI-based app with an alternative transformer-based segmentation algorithm that could potentially be applied in the clinic with a PPPM approach for serial monitoring, and could allow for the generation of retrospective data to research into the varied use of treatments for AMD and DR. The modular system of our app can be scaled to add more iterative features based on user feedback for more efficient monitoring. Further study and scaling up of the algorithm dataset could potentially boost its usability in a real-world clinical setting. Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-022-00301-5.

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) GFR Estimating Equations on CKD Prevalence and Classification Among Asians.

Background: In 2021, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) validated a new equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, this new equation is not ethnic-specific, and prevalence of CKD in Asians is known to differ from other ethnicities. This study evaluates the impact of the 2009 and 2021 creatinine-based eGFR equations on the prevalence of CKD in multiple Asian cohorts. Methods: Eight population-based studies from China, India, Russia (Asian), Singapore and South Korea provided individual-level data (n = 67,233). GFR was estimated using both the 2009 CKD-EPI equation developed using creatinine, age, sex, and race (eGFRcr [2009, ASR]) and the 2021 CKD-EPI equation developed without race (eGFRcr [2021, AS]). CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73m2 (G3-G5). Prevalence of eGFR categories was compared within each study and within subgroups of age, sex, body mass index (BMI), diabetes, and hypertension status. The extent of reclassification was examined using net reclassification improvement (NRI). Findings: Of 67,233 adults, CKD prevalence was 8.6% (n = 5800/67,233) using eGFRcr (2009, ASR) and 6.4% (n = 4307/67,233) using eGFRcr (2021, AS). With the latter, CKD prevalence was reduced across all eight studies, ranging from -7.0% (95% CI -8.5% to -5.4%) to -0.4% (-1.3% to 0.5%), and across all subgroups except those in the BMI < 18.5% subgroup. Net reclassification index (NRI) was significant at -2.33% (p < 0.001). No individuals were reclassified as a higher (more severe) eGFR category, while 1.7%-4.2% of individuals with CKD were reclassified as one eGFR category lower when eGFRcr (2021, AS) rather than eGFRcr (2009, ASR) was used. Interpretation: eGFRcr (2021, AS) consistently provided reduced CKD prevalence and higher estimation of GFR among Asian cohorts than eGFRcr (2009, ASR). Based on current risk-stratified approaches to CKD management, more patients reclassified to lower-risk GFR categories could help reduce inappropriate care and its associated adverse effects among Asian renal patients. Comparison of both equations to predict progression to renal failure or adverse outcomes using prospective studies are warranted. Funding: National Medical Research Council, Singapore.

Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Systemic Parameters and Diseases From Ophthalmic Imaging.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) analytics has been used to predict, classify, and aid clinical management of multiple eye diseases. Its robust performances have prompted researchers to expand the use of AI into predicting systemic, non-ocular diseases and parameters based on ocular images. Herein, we discuss the reasons why the eye is well-suited for systemic applications, and review the applications of deep learning on ophthalmic images in the prediction of demographic parameters, body composition factors, and diseases of the cardiovascular, hematological, neurodegenerative, metabolic, renal, and hepatobiliary systems. Three main imaging modalities are included-retinal fundus photographs, optical coherence tomographs and external ophthalmic images. We examine the range of systemic factors studied from ophthalmic imaging in current literature and discuss areas of future research, while acknowledging current limitations of AI systems based on ophthalmic images.

Detection of Systemic Diseases From Ocular Images Using Artificial Intelligence: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: Despite the huge investment in health care, there is still a lack of precise and easily accessible screening systems. With proven associations to many systemic diseases, the eye could potentially provide a credible perspective as a novel screening tool. This systematic review aims to summarize the current applications of ocular image-based artificial intelligence on the detection of systemic diseases and suggest future trends for systemic disease screening. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted on September 1, 2021, using 3 databases-PubMed, Google Scholar, and Web of Science library. Date restrictions were not imposed and search terms covering ocular images, systemic diseases, and artificial intelligence aspects were used. RESULTS: Thirty-three papers were included in this systematic review. A spectrum of target diseases was observed, and this included but was not limited to cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, central nervous system diseases, renal dysfunctions, and hepatological diseases. Additionally, one- third of the papers included risk factor predictions for the respective systemic diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Ocular image - based artificial intelligence possesses potential diagnostic power to screen various systemic diseases and has also demonstrated the ability to detect Alzheimer and chronic kidney diseases at early stages. Further research is needed to validate these models for real-world implementation.

Normative Data and Associations of OCT Angiography Measurements of the Macula: The Singapore Malay Eye Study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the normative quantitative parameters of the macular retinal vasculature, as well as their systemic and ocular associations using OCT angiography (OCTA). DESIGN: Population-based, cross-sectional study. SUBJECTS: Adults aged > 50 years were recruited from the third examination of the population-based Singapore Malay Eye Study. METHODS: All participants underwent a standardized comprehensive examination and spectral-domain OCTA (Optovue) of the macula. OCT angiography scans that revealed pre-existing retinal disease, revealed macular pathology, and had poor quality were excluded. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The normative quantitative vessel densities of the superficial layer, deep layer, and foveal avascular zone (FAZ) were evaluated. Ocular and systemic associations with macular retinal vasculature parameters were also evaluated in a multivariable analysis using linear regression models with generalized estimating equation models. RESULTS: We included 1184 scans (1184 eyes) of 749 participants. The mean macular superficial vessel density (SVD) and deep vessel density (DVD) were 45.1 ± 4.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 37.8%-51.4%) and 44.4 ± 5.2% (95% CI, 36.9%-53.2%), respectively. The mean SVD and DVD were highest in the superior quadrant (48.7 ± 5.9%) and nasal quadrant (52.7 ± 4.6%), respectively. The mean FAZ area and perimeter were 0.32 ± 0.11 mm2 (95% CI, 0.17-0.51 mm) and 2.14 ± 0.38 mm (95% CI, 1.54-2.75 mm), respectively. In the multivariable regression analysis, female sex was associated with higher SVD (ß = 1.25, P ≤ 0.001) and DVD (ß = 0.75, P = 0.021). Older age (ß = -0.67, P < 0.001) was associated with lower SVD, whereas longer axial length (ß = -0.42, P = 0.003) was associated with lower DVD. Female sex, shorter axial length, and worse best-corrected distance visual acuity were associated with a larger FAZ area. No association of a range of systemic parameters with vessel density was found. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided normative macular vasculature parameters in an adult Asian population, which may serve as reference values for quantitative interpretation of OCTA data in normal and disease states.